On February 18, Arkansas State Senator Jim Hendren revealed that he has changed his registration from Republican to independent. He was first elected to the legislature in 2012, and he was re-elected last year to another four-year term. See this story. Thanks to Political Wire for the link.
Thursday, February 18, 2021
Wednesday, February 17, 2021
For the first time, there are enough people registered in the Conservative Party in Delaware, so that it is ballot-qualified and is free to nominate by convention in 2022, assuming it keeps its registrants. The party, as of February 1, 2021, has 779 registrants. The law requires registration of one-tenth of 1%, which is 759 registrants.
As of October 2020, there were 660 registered Conservatives, so it appears someone has been working to increase the party’s registration. However, there is no website for any Conservative Party of Delaware, and it is possible there is no organization, and the increase in registration is just individual voters choosing to write in “Conservative” on their voter registration forms.
The other qualified minor parties in Delaware are the Independent Party and the Libertarian Party. The Green Party has 752 registrants, up from 719 as of October 2020, so it virtually has enough.
The Nebraska Secretary of State has posted registration data as of Feb. 1, 2021. See it here. The percentages are: Republican 47.77; Democratic 29.16%; Libertarian 1.44%; independent and miscellaneous 21.63%.
As of October 1, 2020, the percentages were: Republican 47.85%; Democratic 29.24%; Libertarian 1.37%; independent and miscellaneous 21.54%.
The Arizona Secretary of State has posted registration data for January 2, 2021. See it here. The website does not show the Green Party, but it has 4,226 registrants.
The percentages are: Republican 35.36%; Democratic 32.10%; Libertarian .89%; Green .10%; other and independent 31.55%.
Percentages in August 2020 were: Republican 34.84%; Democratic 32.41%; Libertarian .83%; Green .11%; other and independent 31.80%.
Monday, February 15, 2021
The Kansas Green Party will launch a petition for party status on April 22, 2021. The petition must be completed within six months from the start date, and needs 21,112 valid signatures. No group, other than Americans Elect in 2011, has done the Kansas party petition since 1998.
Sunday, February 14, 2021
by Thomas L. Knapp, Press & Guide
Eight days ahead of the 2020 presidential election, Gallup reported that "(a) majority of Americans, 57%, say there is a need for a third, major political party. The poll results aren't an artifact of Donald Trump's presidency: These views have been consistent since 2013."
Easier said than done, though. Duverger's Law puts it bluntly: "(The) simple-majority single-ballot system favours the two-party system."
With more than 140 years to entrench themselves in that system and fortify their position with ballot and debate access barriers to keep competitors broke and voiceless, the Republicans and Democrats have little to fear.
Or do they?
National Conference of State Legislatures Suggests States Might Want to Delay 2022 Primaries due to Late-Arriving Census Data
The U.S. Census detailed data that states need to redistrict U.S. House and state legislative seats will not be available until September 2021. The National Conference of State Legislatures has an article about what states can do about that problem. The most interesting idea is that states should postpone their 2022 primaries.
The range of time for congressional primaries varies widely from state to state. Illinois and Texas have their congressional and state office primaries in March of election years, but a few states don’t have them until September of election years.
Ballot access for independent candidates and unqualified parties is better when major party primaries are later. A significant number of states continue to tie the independent petition deadline to the dates of primaries. So the later the primaries, the more time for independent petitions to circulate.
The Idaho Secretary of State has released registration data as of February 5, 2021. The totals are: Republican 556,906; Democratic 145,479; Libertarian 11,581; Constitution 4,052; independent and miscellaneous 338,800.
Percentages are: Republican 52.70%; Democratic 13.77%; Libertarian 1.10%; Constitution .38%; independent and miscellaneous 32.06%.
In September 2020, the percentages were: Republican 52.88%; Democratic 14.13%; Libertarian 1.00%; Constitution .36%; independent and miscellaneous 31.64%.
New York Bill, Cutting Signatures for Independent Candidates for District Office for 2021 Only, Passes Legislature
On February 10, the New York State Senate passed A4686. It had already passed the Assembly. It cuts the number of signatures for independent candidates, and the nominees of unqualified parties, in half. It applies only to 2021 elections.
Pennsylvania Elections Department has released the first registration totals for any minor parties since February 2020. The new figures are: Democratic 4,075,927; Republican 3,458,241; Libertarian 46,037; Green 10,240; independent and miscellaneous 1,222,818.
The percentages are: Democratic 46.25%; Republican 39.24%; Libertarian .52%; Green .12%; independent and miscellaneous 13.87%.
In February 2020, the percentages were: Democratic 47.45%; Republican 38.19%; Libertarian .47%; Green .12%; independent and miscellaneous 13.77%.
The SAM Party will fight on in its lawsuit against the new definition of “political party” in New York, according to this news story. The party failed to get injunctive relief, but the issue of declaratory relief is still undecided, and there will be a trial.
On February 9, Chris Powell was re-elected to the Bethany, Oklahoma city council. He received 76.3% of the vote against his only opponent. He was the Libertarian Party gubernatorial nominee in 2018.
On February 9, the Louisiana Secretary of State’s office released the number of registrants in all parties:
Independent Party 108,990
independent and miscellaneous 771,996
Percentages are: Democratic 38.93%; Republican 32.02%; Independent Party 3.52%; Libertarian .49%; Green .07%; Reform .03%; Conservative .03%; Constitution .01%; independent and miscellaneous 24.91%.
Percentages in February 2020 were: Democratic 42.28%; Republican 31.49%; Independent Party 2.97%; Libertarian .47%; Green .08%; Reform .04%; Conservative .03%; Constitution .01%; independent and miscellaneous 22.64%.
In October 2020, the Secretary of State’s office had released data for minor parties that was inaccurate. I printed that minor party data in the November 1, 2020 Ballot Access print edition, even though at the time I suspected it wasn’t correct. For example, the October 2020 figure had only showed 15,048 for the Independent Party, even though the state had said earlier in the year that the Independent Party was entitled to its own presidential primary because it had over 40,000 registrants. Also the October 2020 figure had showed 23,406 Libertarians, which was suspiciously high.
According to this news story, the California gubernatorial recall petition now has 1,400,000 signatures. The requirement is 1,495,709 signatures, due March 17, 2021.
On June 5, it became known that New Mexico State Representative Phelps Anderson had switched his registration from “Republican” to “independent.” See this story. The story does not say if he plans to run for re-election in 2022. He was in the legislature 1976-1980, and also starting in 2018. In 2020, he had no opponent on the general election ballot. He lives in Roswell. Thanks to Rick Lass for the link.
The Kansas Secretary of State has released the tally of write-in votes for the 2020 declared write-in presidential candidates.
Howie Hawkins 669
Brian Carroll 579
Kanye West 332
Jade Simmons 48
Mark Charles 29
Tom Hoefling 14
Ajay Sood 4
Brock Pierce 4
Jason Edwards 2
Dario Hunter 1
Kasey Wells 1
Thanks to Tony Roza for this information.
The Iowa Secretary of State has posted some data for voter registration as of February 1, 2021. However, the website only shows the Democratic and Republican Parties, even though the Libertarian and Green Parties also have the ability to obtain and keep registered voters. The active totals for all four parties are: Republican 724,939; Democratic 698,870; Libertarian 14,349; Green 3,787; independent and other 681,917.
The percentages are: Republican 34.13%; Democratic 32.90%; Libertarian .68%; Green .18%; independent and other 32.10%.
Percentages in October 2020 were: Republican 34.21%; Democratic 33.57%; Libertarian .63%; Green .16%; independent and other 31.43%.
Thursday, February 4, 2021
by Dr. Kenneth Brent Olsen
It is undeniable that libertarianism is a growing movement, especially amongst the younger generations in America. During his campaign for the Republican nomination for President of the United States in 2008 and 2012, Congressman Ron Paul brought a great deal of attention to libertarianism, especially amongst the youth.
This inspired the formation of Young Americans for Liberty, a student activism organization which supports liberty candidates. Many of those youth who were inspired by Ron Paul became registered Libertarians.
The Alaska Elections Division has posted registration data as of February 3, 2021. See it here. The percentages are: Republican 24.76%; Democratic 13.56%; Alaskan Independence 3.20%; Libertarian 1.16%; Green .25%; Veterans .22%; Constitution .11%; independent and other 56.74%.
On October 3, 2020, the percentages were: Republican 24.36%; Democratic 13.46%; Alaskan Independence 3.10%; Libertarian 1.17%; Green .26%; Veterans .22%; Constitution .10%; independent and other 57.32%.
The New Mexico Secretary of State has released registration data as of January 29, 2021. The numbers: Democratic 611,357; Republican 425,651; Libertarian 12,798; Independent American 3,889; Green 3,641; Better for America 3,180; Constitution 783; independent and miscellaneous 298,809.
Percentages are: Democratic 44.95%; Republican 31.30%; Libertarian .94%; Independent American .29%; Green .27%; Better for America .23%; Constitution .06%; independent and miscellaneous 21.97%.
On September 30, 2020, the percentages were: Democratic 45.38%; Republican 31.12%; Libertarian .91%; Green .56%; Independent American .36%; Better for America .29%; Constitution .07%; independent and miscellaneous 21.31%.
The Peoples Party has filed to be a political body in California. In California, a “political body” is an unqualified party that will attempt to become a qualified party. Groups that wish to be political parties must persuade approximately 68,000 people to fill out a new voter registration form showing themselves as members of that group.
The Peoples Party earlier had filed similar paperwork in Maine, which requires 5,000 registrations for party status.
Tuesday, February 2, 2021
On February 1, the Oregon Secretary of State posted new registration data. See it here. The percentages are: Democratic 35.52%; Republican 25.52%; Independent Party 4.68%; Libertarian .74%; Working Families .29%; Green .27%; Constitution .13%; Progressive .10%; miscellaneous and independent 32.74%.
In September 2020, the percentages were: Democratic 35.67%; Republican 25.67%; Independent Party 4.47%; Libertarian .72%; Working Families .30%; Green .27%; Constitution .13%; Progressive .09%; independent and miscellaneous 32.67%.
Arkansas registration data as of February 2, 2021, is: Republican 118,271; Democratic 92,709; Libertarian 690; Green 91; other and independent 1,622,779.
As of October 12, the numbers were: Republican 114,628; Democratic 91,283; Libertarian 618; Green 83; other and independent 1,612,070.
In Arkansas, party registration has no legal force, and any voter can choose any party’s primary ballot. It has only been a few years that Arkansas voter registration forms have even asked about party membership. That is why the overwhelming majority of voters have no party choice.
On February 1, the Nevada Secretary of State put up new voter registration data. See it here. The website does not show the number of active registered Greens, but the Secretary of State’s office says there are 2,274.
The percentages are: Democratic 36.43%; Republican 32.05%; Independent American 4.57%; Libertarian .98%; Green .13%; independent and miscellaneous 25.85%.
The percentages in September 2020 were: Democratic 37.57%; Republican 32.50%; Independent American 4.44%; Libertarian .98%; Green .09%; independent and miscellaneous 24.42%.
It is somewhat surprising that the Green Party registration went from 1,578 in September 2020, to 2,274 currently. The Green Party has not been on the ballot in Nevada since 2010.
The Fulcrum has this article by former Florida Congressmember David Jolly, in support of SAM Party.
As of January 31, 2021, here are registration totals for South Dakota: Republican 279,921; Democratic 158,697; Libertarian 2,429; Constitution 438; independent and miscellaneous 141,237. Percentages are: Republican 48.04%; Democratic 27.23%; Libertarian .42%; Constitution .08%; independent and miscellaneous 24.24%.
On October 12, 2020, the percentages were: Republican 48.02%; Democratic 27.58%; Libertarian .39%; Constitution .06%; independent and miscellaneous 23.95%.
The Constitution Party is not ballot-qualified, but South Dakota lets parties that lose their qualified status keep and expand their registration.
Federal Election Commission Releases Vote Tally for All Presidential Candidates Who Were on Ballot in at Least One State
The Federal Election Commission has tallied the vote for president by state, for every candidate who was on the ballot in at least one state. Later this on-line chart will be published in a book, Federal Elections 2020. That book, which is free on request from the FEC, will also have the vote for congress. See it here.
These returns still aren’t absolutely final. Pennsylvania still doesn’t have final results because it is still waiting for the U.S. Supreme Court to rule on whether certain late-arriving postal ballots should be counted. Kansas and Maine still haven’t released the write-in totals for declared write-in presidential candidates. Also, of course, there are other presidential candidates who were not on the ballot in any state, but who still got valid write-in votes because they filed as declared write-in candidates in certain states, and therefore did get some votes tallied. It was simply too much for the FEC to include those candidates.
On February 1, the West Virginis Secretary of State posted registration data as of January 31, 2021, on his website. See it here. The website does not include the data for unqualified parties, but the office by e-mail says the Independent Party has 38,300 registrants, and the Constitution Party has 174.
Percentages are: Democratic 36.68%; Republican 36.49%; Independent Party 3.07%; Libertarian .72%; Green .19%; Constitution .01%; independent and miscellaneous 22.84%.
On September 30, the percentages were: Democratic 37.48%; Republican 35.69%; Libertarian .67%; Green .19%; Constitution .01%; independent and miscellaneous 25.95%. Thanks to Jeff Becker for the totals for the Independent Party and the Constitution Party.
It seems likely the Independent Party will sue to get recognized, because its gubernatorial nominee in 2020 received over 1% of the vote, even though they were write-in votes.
Utah active registration data as of January 21, 2021, is: Republican 872,645; Democratic 253,583; Independent American 58,864; Libertarian 19,151; Constitution 6,068; Green 2,454; United Utah 2,211; independent and miscellaneous 494,934.
The percentages are: Republican 51.03%; Democratic 14.83%; Independent American 3.44%; Libertarian 1.12%; Constitution .35%; Green .14%; United Utah .13%; independent and miscellaneous 28.95%.
Percentages on October 5, 2020, were: Republican 51.42%; Democratic 14.78%; Independent American 3.29%; Libertarian 1.08%; Constitution .35%; Green .14%; United Utah .12%; independent and miscellaneous 28.82%.
The Independent American and Green Parties are no longer ballot-qualified, but Utah, like most states, lets parties that go off the ballot continue to keep and gain registrants.